Corroborated Event Intelligence & SEC EDGAR

Sisera’s intelligence layer (@sisera/intelligence) continuously monitors the primary sources most likely to move public tokenized equities, PreStocks private companies, and autonomous agent tokens. Every classification is deterministic, rule-based, and explainable: a source tier comes from verified publisher provenance, an event category from domain rules and filing item codes, and certainty from independent source corroboration. A rumor is never promoted to the certainty of an official regulatory filing.

Ingestion Sources

SEC EDGAR Regulatory Filings: Direct ingestion of 8-K (including specific item code mapping), 10-Q, 10-K, S-1, 13D, 13G, and Form 4 filings.
Global & Financial News Wires: GDELT, Marketaux, Finnhub, GNews, Google News, and Bing News streams.
Macroeconomic Releases: FRED economic series, central bank rate decisions, inflation prints, and DeFiLlama chain TVL snapshots.
Social & Community Chatter: Real-time feeds across X, Telegram, Reddit, and Discord.

Source Tiers & Certainty Ladder

Every ingested item (RawItem) is classified into one of eight strict SourceTier levels and clustered into a MarketEvent with an explicit Certainty rating:

Source Tiers (SourceTier)
Certainty States (Certainty)

Tier Identifier	Provenance Examples	Weight in Corroboration
`regulatory_filing`	SEC EDGAR (`sec.gov`), federal register, court dockets	Authoritative — Immediately marks an event as `confirmed`.
`official`	Direct company investor relations, verified issuer press releases	Authoritative — Immediately marks an event as `confirmed`.
`wire`	Reuters, Bloomberg, Associated Press, PR Newswire, Business Wire	High — Corroborates across independent established publishers.
`tier1_press`	WSJ, Financial Times, CNBC, NYT, The Information	High — Counts toward multi-publisher `corroborated` status.
`press`	Sector trade publications, established financial/crypto journalism	Medium — Requires independent confirmation to upgrade from `single_source`.
`aggregator`	News syndicators and secondary market summaries	Low — Tracked for breadth; does not independently corroborate.
`social`	X, Telegram, Reddit, Discord posts	Informational — Flagged as `unverified_social` or `rumor`.
`unknown`	Uncategorized external domains	Baseline — Never triggers confirmed policy conditions.

Certainty State	Qualification Criteria
`confirmed`	Backed by at least one `regulatory_filing` (e.g., SEC `8-K`) or `official` issuer announcement.
`corroborated`	Reported independently by multiple established publishers (`wire` or `tier1_press`) without rumor hedging language.
`single_source`	Reported by a single credible press source without independent confirmation yet.
`rumor`	Contains explicit hedging/speculative phrasing (“sources say”, “reportedly exploring”, “unconfirmed”).
`unverified_social`	Originating solely from social channels (`social` tier) without press or filing backing.

18 Event Categories & Severity Scoring

Each item and clustered event is tagged with one or more EventCategory classifications, a Severity (low, medium, high, critical), and a Sentiment (positive, negative, neutral, mixed):

export type EventCategory =
  | "earnings"          // Quarterly results, EPS/revenue beats & misses
  | "guidance"          // Forward outlook raises, cuts, or withdrawals
  | "product"           // Model launches, hardware releases, FDA/clinical milestones
  | "fundraising"       // Pre-IPO primary rounds, tender offers, valuation marks
  | "m_and_a"           // Acquisitions, mergers, divestitures, buyout offers
  | "executive"         // CEO/CFO/board transitions and key departures
  | "legal"             // Lawsuits, injunctions, settlements, patent disputes
  | "regulatory"        // SEC/DOJ/FTC actions, antitrust reviews, compliance orders
  | "government"        // Defense contracts, subsidies, export controls, tariffs
  | "macro"             // CPI, NFP, GDP, PMI, geopolitical shocks
  | "rates"             // FOMC decisions, Treasury yield shifts, central bank guidance
  | "analyst"           // Institutional upgrades, downgrades, price target revisions
  | "partnership"       // Strategic alliances, hyperscaler compute deals
  | "security_incident" // Exploits, breaches, outages, smart contract incidents
  | "listing"           // Exchange listings, index inclusions, delistings
  | "capital_return"    // Share buybacks, dividends, token burns, treasury locks
  | "market_move"       // Unusual volume, premium/discount dislocations
  | "other";

Asset Mapping & Move Explanation Engine

When a trader asks “Why is this asset moving?” (GET /v1/intelligence/assets/:key/explain), Sisera correlates:

Direct Asset Matches: Events matching the asset’s ticker, company name, aliases, or Solana mint address.
Sector & Macro Spillover: High-severity macro, rates, or sector-wide events affecting the asset’s industry group.
Price & Fair-Value Dislocation: Real-time movement in the Solana token relative to its Pyth Core equity reference or PreStocks issuer mark.
Portfolio Exposure Attribution: Highlights which positions in your active book are exposed to the event cluster.

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Corroborated Event Intelligence & SEC EDGAR

Ingestion Sources

Source Tiers & Certainty Ladder

18 Event Categories & Severity Scoring

Asset Mapping & Move Explanation Engine

​Ingestion Sources

​Source Tiers & Certainty Ladder

​18 Event Categories & Severity Scoring

​Asset Mapping & Move Explanation Engine

Ingestion Sources

Source Tiers & Certainty Ladder

18 Event Categories & Severity Scoring

Asset Mapping & Move Explanation Engine